All the latest energy market insights and analysis from the expert team at Ignite Energy. We extract real meaning from data to help you keep track of the wholesale energy market and the changes that really matter. Energy market intelligence and data insights are core to Ignite’s innovative and proactive approach to energy management.
Our experts share the updates that matter in our global energy market feed.
Australia's general election has raised concerns about global LNG supply uncertainty and rising costs, particularly in Japan, as potential policy shifts could tighten exports and heighten strain on the global market. - 28/04/2025
UK power futures are bullish this morning as renewed concerns over the impact of the EU's CBAM on cross-border power exports and renewable investment continue to cause market ambiguity. - 28/04/2025
Cornwall Insights suggest that the UK energy price cap could fall around 9% in July. This could offer some bearish signals along the curve due to softening supplier demand. - 28/04/2025
Despite a fall in wind generation into tomorrow, improving UK nuclear output, firm interconnectors flows and warmer temperatures are limiting upside to day-ahead energy contracts on reduced gas-for-power demand. - 28/04/2025
Recent talks between Trump and President Zelenskiy regarding ending the war in Ukraine could provide some bearish sentiment; however, the lack of progress with Russia continues to be a limiting factor. - 28/04/2025
Hartlepool 2 (595MW) and Heysham 2-7 (615MW) are expected to return to service today and Monday, respectively, though any bearish pressure to day-ahead is partially offset by Hartlepool 1 (595MW) going offline. - 25/04/2025
The prompt gas contract is shifting down in morning trading, with temperatures forecast to continue rising over the course of the week. Downside is limited by continued export and injection demand, however. - 25/04/2025
Day-ahead baseload has opened bullish this morning but could see a shift to the downside, with wind forecast to rise over the weekend and IFA1 returning to service today amid strong solar output on the Continent. - 25/04/2025
Gas futures are trading neutral this morning following a week of declines, with improvements in gas fundamentals and positive sentiment around RUS-UKR peace maintaining lower prices. - 25/04/2025
2027+ energy futures and UK/EU carbon markets are moving up this morning, with the softer stance surrounding tariffs by the US continuing to abate some concerns surrounding a prolonged recession. - 25/04/2025
The day-ahead baseload contract is pointing down in morning trading amid rising solar in the UK and the Continent, offsetting falling wind output and a delay to Hartlepool 2 (595MW) coming back online. - 24/04/2025
The prompt gas contract is trading to the downside this morning as weaker LNG send out and domestic production couple with higher export demand are being offset by warmer temperatures. - 24/04/2025
Near-curve and 2025-26 seasonal gas contracts are trading neutral-bearish this morning after closing slightly down in yesterday's trading. RUS-UKR geopolitics and macroeconomics are maintaining bearish market sentiment. - 24/04/2025
2027+ seasonal energy contracts are neutral-bullish to bullish in morning trading, likely taking some direction from macroeconomic developments as statements from the US increasingly suggest less harsh tariffs. - 24/04/2025
UK and EU carbon have decoupled somewhat from macroeconomic developments and are shifting down in morning trading on weaker permit demand due to higher renewable output in the UK and Europe. - 24/04/2025
Day-ahead gas and power contracts are diverging this morning. The expected return of Hartlepool 2 (595MW) is providing bearish signals to baseload, whilst continued injection demand supports prompt gas. - 23/04/2025
UK gas futures shifted to the downside in yesterday's trading, driven by a combination of recessionary concerns, due to the IMF cutting growth forecasts, and improved RUS-UKR peace prospects. - 23/04/2025
UK gas futures have opened bullish, tracking equities as some of yesterday's recessionary concerns ease amid statements from the White House suggesting the US-China trade war could end earlier than thought. - 23/04/2025
The Brent Crude benchmark and UK/EU carbon contracts are moving to the upside, in line with wider energy commodities and equity markets, driven by greater economic confidence. - 23/04/2025
The EU is looking into options to forbid new Russian gas contracts, limiting the bearish impact of improved peace prospects to later-dated UK gas futures contracts. - 23/04/2025
The day-ahead gas contract is trading sideways this morning as a slight drop in Norwegian supply and continued high gas-fired generation demand is limited by warmer temperature forecasts tomorrow. - 22/04/2025
The prompt power contract is trading bullish this morning amid weak nuclear output. A forecasted increase in wind output is limiting some of the bullish pressure. - 22/04/2025
Gas futures are bearish this morning with President Putin’s offer to pursue direct peace talks with Ukraine, indicating potential progress towards a ceasefire. Warmer temperatures for the end of April is also contributing. - 22/04/2025
The Brent Crude benchmark is moving to the upside today whilst carbon contracts remain elevated after a recent recovery. This appears to be related to positive developments in US trade relations with some key nations. - 22/04/2025
Global LNG supply is expected to remain tight until 2027 providing bullish signals to futures, driven by prospect for a delay to new export infrastructure amid a slow down in Asian demand signals. - 22/04/2025
A dry hydro outlook in the Alps, alongside increasing pessimism over German wind output across summer, could offer support to near-curve energy contracts on tighter renewable availability. - 17/04/2025
Resistance from several EU countries and concerns over alternative supplies led to a veto on the proposed EU parliament ban on Russian LNG, limiting upside along the curve on easing supply fears. - 17/04/2025
A plummet in wind generation and a further two nuclear reactors outages today and tomorrow, reducing capacity to 63%, are offering support to prompt contracts on increased reliance on gas-fired generation. - 17/04/2025
The UK has secured an additional LNG cargo for April 2025 and its first for May, bringing the totals to 8 and 1 respectively. Meanwhile, global LNG exports have hit a record high, improving supply conditions. - 17/04/2025
UK energy futures are neutral- bullish this morning, caught between ongoing tariff implications and the EU's prospective 20% YoY increase in LNG imports to meet summer demand and replenish storage levels. - 17/04/2025
Day-ahead energy contracts are pointing up in morning trading amid a sharp decline in wind output into tomorrow. A slight drop in UK temperatures and a more significant drop in NWE is also supportive. - 16/04/2025
UK gas futures are trading neutral-bullish this morning after closing flat on Monday's prices yesterday. Upside is limited by ongoing tariff discussions, but less trading prior to the Easter weekend is also contributing. - 16/04/2025
European storage dynamics are favouring injections, with injections ramping up over the past three weeks and forecast to continue. This is bearish for W-25, but supports prompt and front month pricing. - 16/04/2025
UK and EU carbon prices are following the same sideways action being seen in wider energy commodities, with uncertainty over the impact of tariffs limiting significant price moves despite weaker renewable output. - 16/04/2025
Several key financial institutions have lowered growth forecasts for China in 2025 and 2026 amid the ongoing trade dispute. This could maintain the bearish sentiment in European gas markets amid less competition for LNG. - 16/04/2025
Day-ahead gas and power contracts are pointing down this morning, with a sharp rise in wind output into tomorrow offsetting bullish signals from cooler temperatures and a extension to Heysham 2-7's outage. - 15/04/2025
UK gas futures are neutral this morning after staging a slight recovery yesterday afternoon spurred by Norwegian gas production issues which have since been addressed. - 15/04/2025
The trade war between the US and nations globally continues to develop as US-China relations sour further, but progress is being made between other large Asian economies and the EU, lending some support to futures. - 15/04/2025
UK and EU carbon prices have opened bullish this morning after closing yesterday marginally higher. This appears to be driven by a combination of weaker renewable output and positive tariff discussions. - 15/04/2025
The UK has secured another cargo for Apr-25 delivery, bringing the total to 7, as Asian spot LNG prices slump to a 1-year low amid trade war concerns, despite more optimism than last week. - 15/04/2025
Prompt gas and power are pointing up in morning trading, driven by a sharp decline in wind output into tomorrow. The expected return of the Heysham 2-7 nuclear reactor (615MW) and warmer temperatures limit upside. - 14/04/2025
UK gas futures are neutral-bullish this morning after trading in a mostly sideways fashion last week, with further downside limited by storage tightness and upside limited by recessionary concerns. - 14/04/2025
Equity markets in Europe and Asia have staged a slight recovery this morning. This eases some of the concerns around a recession and is lending some support to the wider energy complex. - 14/04/2025
Cloud cover forecasts for many regions in Europe have been revised up, limiting solar output. This could lend some support to day-ahead pricing for the next couple of weeks on tighter import availability. - 14/04/2025
Temperature forecasts for the UK for the remainder of April have been revised down from the last forecast, which could also contribute to higher day-ahead prices in the near-term. - 14/04/2025
The day-ahead gas contract is bullish this morning amid a forecasted drop in temperatures into Monday, though a continuation of strong Norwegian supply due to a lack of planned maintenance limits upside. - 11/04/2025
The prompt power contract is bearish amid a sharp increase in wind output into Monday, offsetting bullish pressure from declining solar output and cooler temperatures. - 11/04/2025
Gas futures opened bullish this morning but are now trading neutral as wider financial markets asses the recessionary impact of Trump's tariffs. A similar dynamic was seen yesterday, which ended up closing flat. - 11/04/2025
The UK/EU carbon and Brent crude benchmarks are diverging this morning, driven by movements in financial markets following Trump's temporary tariff reductions and China's reciprocal tariffs on the US, respectively. - 11/04/2025
Power futures are posting mixed price action this morning, characterised by large bid-offer spreads. Carbon contracts are supportive, but gas futures are offering unclear direction amid strong market volatility. - 11/04/2025
The day ahead power contract is neutral- bearish amid a slight increase in wind output into tomorrow, as well as warmer temperatures and increased solar output due to less cloud cover. - 10/04/2025
The prompt gas contract is up this morning despite improved supply from Norway and warmer temperatures as the rally in futures supports pricing on storage dynamics. - 10/04/2025
Trump has announced temporary reductions in tariffs for most countries, though a further increase to China tariffs. The result has is a rally in UK and European energy futures as recessionary concerns ease. - 10/04/2025
The benchmark UK and EU carbon contracts are rising in morning trading, in line with wider financial markets, adding to the bullish pressure being felt on UK and European power futures. - 10/04/2025
Oil prices fell to a four-year low yesterday after its worst 5 days of losses in 3 years, as the trade war between China and the US escalates. Tariffs suspensions have done little to impact the downwards momentum. - 10/04/2025
Day-ahead energy contracts are bearish, with temperatures forecast to warm into tomorrow and Norwegian maintenance coming to an end tomorrow, offsetting persistent low wind output. - 09/04/2025
UK gas futures and wider commodity markets are continuing to be dominated by a bearish trend, with Trump administration tariffs taking effect today, intensifying trade war concerns with Asia and Europe. - 09/04/2025
Adding to the bearish view for UK gas futures is pricing dynamics favouring storage injections in Europe for the start of the summer, particularly with no Norwegian maintenance until April and warmer temperatures. - 09/04/2025
Goldman Sachs’ estimate of a 70% probability for a Russia-Ukraine peace deal, combining with recessionary concerns and more positive storage dynamics to provide bearish signals to energy futures. - 09/04/2025
2027+ seasonal energy futures are bullish amid concerns surrounding the future of US LNG projects and concerns that the current trade war could impact the cost of raw materials critical for the energy transition. - 09/04/2025
Day ahead power is bearish today on the back of wind output increasing into tomorrow. Prompt gas is bullish amid increased reliance on gas storage, higher export demand and slightly cooler temperatures. - 08/04/2025
EU carbon prices are moving down this morning after reaching their lowest since 08-Oct 2024 off the back of Trump's tariffs, supporting bearish sentiment in the mid-to-long range energy futures. - 08/04/2025
Despite no further cargoes being secured by the UK for Apr-25, Chinese LNG buyers are looking to resell US cargoes as tariffs impact. Europe has been 70% of the resell volume, improving supply prospects. - 08/04/2025
Gas futures are down again this morning after yesterday's market volatility amid the rumours of a 90 day pause on tariffs that was later denied by the white house. - 08/04/2025
2026+ power contracts are moving to the upside amid bullish sentiment from supply concern as 60GW of fossil-fuelled capacity across Europe is at risk of being decommissioned early (in 2026) for being unviable. - 08/04/2025
Day-ahead energy contracts are bearish this morning amid forecasts of above-average warmer temperatures into tomorrow and easing Norwegian maintenance, though weak wind output is limiting downside. - 07/04/2025
UK gas futures, carbon prices and crude oil prices are continuing last week's bearish trend this morning as concerns deepen surrounding a global recession in the face of Trump's tariffs on Europe, Asia and others. - 07/04/2025
Signals that La Nina is transitioning to neutral continue to strengthen and current revisions to forecasts are indicating warmer weather for April, providing some bearish signals on reduced storage strain. - 07/04/2025
European storage has increased for the second consecutive week despite strong Norwegian maintenance taking place last week, a sign that we are transitioning out of the withdrawal period. - 07/04/2025
2027+ seasonal baseload contracts are rising in early trading, supported by concerns that a trade war between the US and EU could lead to a slowdown in the buildout of new renewable capacity. - 07/04/2025
The day ahead gas contracts is neutral-bearish today, with the significant Norwegian maintenance coming to an end this weekend, offsetting the decrease in wind output which is lending support to prompt baseload. - 04/04/2025
President Trump's tariffs have had a drastic effect on most trading markets, with the uncertainty of the repercussions reducing trading activity in wider financial markets, potentially limiting further price moves. - 04/04/2025
UK gas futures and Brent crude are pointing down this morning after a significant drop in yesterday's trading stimulated by concerns about a global recession and the drop in value of the Dollar. - 04/04/2025
An additional LNG cargo for Apr-25 delivery has been secured from Qatar, bringing the total to 6 and further adding to the overall bearish sentiment in the near curve. - 04/04/2025
Temperature forecasts to mid-April have been revised warmer for a second day in a row, potentially stimulating further bearish signals to 2025 energy contracts on reduced storage risk. - 04/04/2025
The day-ahead gas contract is bearish this morning, with temperatures forecasted to rise into tomorrow. Prompt baseload is making gains this morning on decreasing wind output. - 03/04/2025
UK gas futures are bearish after neutral-bearish trading yesterday, with revisions to temperature forecasts for the next few weeks showing warmer temperatures, reducing the likelihood of storage depletion. - 03/04/2025
Despite the pullback in gas futures, downside continues to be limited by ongoing concerns around RUS-UKR, with the Trump administration recently highlighting Russian unwillingness to cooperate as a key hurdle. - 03/04/2025
Trump has enforced aggressive tariff's, escalating trade war concerns with Asia and Europe, providing bearish signals to carbon and crude oil markets on the potential for stifled economic activity. - 03/04/2025
2026+ seasonal baseload futures are moving to the upside in morning trading, with the potential for reciprocal EU tariff's on the US to impact the cost of materials crucial for the energy transition, like steel. - 03/04/2025
Day ahead power is bearish today, with temperatures forecasted to rise into tomorrow and Torness 1 (595MW) returning a day early, offsetting upside from declining wind output. - 02/04/2025
UK gas futures are mixed-neutral this morning after climbing in yesterday's trading amid geopolitical risk from Russia's unwillingness to accept US ideas on Ukraine and cooler weather forecasts for Europe. - 02/04/2025
President Trump is set to announce new tariffs today, with concerns over stifled economic activity in Europe providing bearish signals to European equities and by extension carbon markets. - 02/04/2025
Europe could announce plans for further US LNG purchases to mitigate the tariff impact, sending mixed signals along the curve on better supply prospects but greater reliance on more costly LNG. - 02/04/2025
Gassco are expecting to increase their gas exports this summer potentially providing some bearish signals on improved prospects for filling storage this summer and reduced competition for LNG with Asia. - 02/04/2025
The day-ahead power contract are bearish this morning, with the return of the Heysham 1-1 (580MW) nuclear reactor and wind forecast to rise above seasonal norms into tomorrow. - 01/04/2025
The prompt gas contract is making gains this morning on the back of a start in heavy Norwegian maintenance tomorrow, with flows expected to drop a further 67 mcm/d to 82 mcm/d. - 01/04/2025
Gas futures are neutral to neutral-bullish after rising in yesterday's trading, driven by continued uncertainty surrounding RUS-UKR peace talks and signs of maintenance at a Qatari LNG facility. - 01/04/2025
The UK has secured another LNG cargo for April delivery, bringing the total to 5. This is in line with last year's volume and may provide a limit to the upside to gas futures on improved supply. - 01/04/2025
The benchmark UK and EU carbon contracts are moving to the upside this morning, retracing some of last week's gains on the back of positive sentiment around European equities. - 01/04/2025
Day ahead power prices are bearish on increasing wind output into tomorrow and Heysham 1-1 (585MW) coming back online after a restart. Downside is limited by IFA1 (1GW) going offline for maintenance. - 31/03/2025
The uncertainty around the ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine is further reinforced by Trump's recent statement that he intends to impose secondary tariffs on Russian gas if no ceasefire is agreed. - 31/03/2025
The EU's ban on re-exporting Russian LNG via EU ports has come into effect, opening the EU to receive more Russian LNG that would've been sent to Asia, providing some bearish signals to gas futures. - 31/03/2025
Temperatures this week are forecast above seasonal normal levels, limiting strain on storage and potentially leaving capacity for further injections. This is limited by Norwegian gas outages. - 31/03/2025
Planned unavailability of Aasta Hansteen and Nyhamna will result in 82mcm/d going offline from 02-Apr to 06-Apr, and 28 mcm/d offline for the 07-Apr, lending support to gas prices. - 31/03/2025
UK gas futures are mostly neutral-bearish this morning, continuing to trade lower than the start of the week amid improvements to fundamentals despite uncertainty around RUS-UKR peace. - 28/03/2025
Revisions to 45d weather forecasts are providing bearish signals to near curve and 2025 seasonal gas contracts on warmer conditions for the start of April, limiting strain on gas storage. - 28/03/2025
The UK carbon benchmark is trading up this morning after pulling back in yesterday's trading. This is lending to support to seasonal power futures which are moving to the upside in morning trading. - 28/03/2025
Day-ahead baseload is strongly bullish this morning amid a sharp drop in wind output over the weekend. Prompt gas is also trading up, with warmer temperatures being offset by increased gas-fired demand. - 28/03/2025
The Heysham 1-1 (580MW) nuclear reactor has had it's outage shortened and should return today, however any downwards pressure to prompt is being offset by the Hartlepool 2 (595MW) reactor going offline. - 28/03/2025
Day-ahead baseload is pointing sharply down this morning on a sharp increase in wind output into tomorrow. Prompt gas is sideways, caught between cooling temperatures and reduced gas-fired demand. - 27/03/2025
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