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Our experts share the updates that matter in our global energy market feed.
Canada LNG is expected to produce its first LNG in June, adding 14 MTPA to global supply when complete. This is limiting upside to near-curve gas contracts due to improving supply conditions. - 08/05/2025
The Pound Sterling rallied yesterday on expectations of US-UK trade deal due to be announced today. This could boost the UK's purchasing power and lower LNG import costs. - 08/05/2025
UK energy futures are neutral-bullish this morning, driven by rising concerns over renewable buildout delays, geopolitical uncertainty and the potential easing of US-China trade tensions reducing recession fears. - 08/05/2025
Gains in the UK carbon benchmark and weak wind output are limiting downside to day-ahead baseload contracts. Ongoing Norwegian maintenance throughout May remains supportive to prompt gas contracts. - 08/05/2025
Slovakia and Hungary have rejected the European Commissions plan to ban Russian gas imports by 2027, siting concerns about energy security in the region, fuelling uncertainty about it's implementation. - 08/05/2025
The day-ahead power contracts is moving up this morning as rising wind output and temperatures in the UK is offset by declining solar in the UK and weaker renewable output on the Continent. - 07/05/2025
UK energy futures have opened mostly neutral this morning after rising in yesterday's trading on the back of EC plans to ban Russian gas imports, rising LNG demand in Asia and concerns over Norwegian maintenance. - 07/05/2025
China and the US are set to open discussions around tariffs in Switzerland on Saturday. Easing concerns around the global economic impact contributed to yesterday's rise and could remain supportive today. - 07/05/2025
The Brent Crude benchmark and UK/EU carbon have opened bullish this morning, tracking equity markets which have rallied on the back of the potential de-escalation in the US-China trade war. - 07/05/2025
Orsted has announced they will be abandoning a large offshore wind farm in Britain due to a deteriorating global business environment for renewables. This could be supportive along the curve. - 07/05/2025
UK energy futures have opened bullish this morning amid easing concerns of a global recession as China signalled a willingness to cooperate with the US in discussions around tariffs. - 06/05/2025
Asian LNG spot prices have started to strengthen on higher demand out of China and South Korea, with both nations taking advantage of the power prices. This could lend some support to UK gas futures. - 06/05/2025
Day-ahead gas and power contracts are moving to the upside in morning trading on reduced gas flows from Norway due to maintenance, as well as slightly weaker wind output. - 06/05/2025
EU/UK carbon and Brent Crude are trading up this morning, likely spurred by similar sentiment around the potential de-escalation of the US-China trade war as energy futures. - 06/05/2025
Europe is forecasting gas storage injections until the 18-May despite reduced gas flows from Norway. This is bearish for W-25+, but bullish for day-ahead contracts over the next couple of weeks. - 06/05/2025
Poor weather fundamentals and Norwegian maintenance into next week, alongside an extended outage at the 615MW Heysham 2-8 nuclear reactor are supporting day-ahead contracts. - 02/05/2024
China is evaluating an offer to hold talks with the US over Trump's tariff implementation, signalling a de-escalation in the trade wars and offering bullish signals on a potential return of Chinese LNG purchasing. - 02/05/2024
The EIA has projected that average US LNG exports would hit 15.2 billion cubic feet per day in 2025, up 27% from 2024 levels. This is limiting upside along the curve on improving supply conditions. - 02/05/2024
At least four LNG cargoes have been diverted from Europe to Asia as the European premium over Asia declines, boosting profits from Asian deliveries even though demand remains muted. - 02/05/2024
UK energy futures are largely bullish this morning, retracing yesterdays downside as comments by the US Vice President erode positive sentiment surrounding Russia-Ukraine peace prospects. - 02/05/2024
Due to weaker wind speeds, Rystad Energy has revised its 2025 forecast for European wind power generation downward by 30 TWh, offering bullish signals along the curve on increased fossil fuel demand. - 01/05/2024
Equinor's CEO advises that European gas markets will remain tight over the summer, limiting downside to near-curve contracts due to the need to refill storage levels, which ended the winter period two-thirds empty. - 01/05/2024
The signing of the mineral deal between the US and Ukraine is providing bearish pressure to near-curve gas contracts as it signals ongoing developments in US attempts to broker peace between Ukraine and Russia. - 01/05/2024
So far this year, Europe and the UK have received 77% of US LNG exports, a trend expected to continue as US tariffs are anticipated to suppress industrial activity across Asia amid already weak demand in the region. - 01/05/2024
Day-ahead energy contracts are receiving support from unseasonably low wind generation, a dip in solar output and an ongoing reduction in UK nuclear capacity, increasing gas-for-power demand. - 01/05/2024
Concerns over increased French nuclear modulation could be supportive this summer, with the increase driven by growing renewable capacity due to the intermittency of renewables and the price volatility it brings. - 30/04/2025
A slight uptick in wind generation into tomorrow and firm solar output is providing bearish pressure to day-ahead baseload contracts on reduced gas-for-power demand. - 30/04/2025
LNG prices have plunged, falling below the Sept-24 lows and breaking key support levels with potential for further declines, offering bearish signals along the curve amid cheaper imports during the storage refilling season. - 30/04/2025
Recent occurrences of 'Dunkelflaute' events, particularly during winter, and the Spanish blackout have highlighted the vulnerabilities of Europe’s energy system, offering support to baseload futures. - 30/04/2025
Vattenfall CEO warns that ongoing turbulence from US trade wars could limit growth in energy demand across Europe as businesses delay investments in new industrial facilities, limiting upside to further dated contracts. - 30/04/2025
US Plaquemines LNG facility receives approval to flow gas to new trains of the plant, boosting export prospects in the coming month and provide downwards pressure to near curve energy futures. - 29/04/2025
A recent blackout in the Iberian Peninsula underscores the imbalance between dispatchable and intermittent power sources, offering bullish signals to power futures as it highlights growing system instability. - 29/04/2025
Extended maintenance at the 615MW Heysham 2-7 nuclear reactor, along with a further outage at 595MW Hartlepool 1, has reduced nuclear capacity to 63%, limiting downside to day-ahead energy contracts. - 29/04/2025
The UK has secured an additional 2 LNG cargoes for May-25, bringing the total to 3. This is offering bearish pressure to near-curve gas contracts as supply fundamentals remain firm amid weak Asian demand. - 29/04/2025
UK gas futures are largely neutral-bearish the morning, with positive sentiment from improving US-Ukraine relations and prospects of easing EU storage targets weighing on the market. - 29/04/2025
Australia's general election has raised concerns about global LNG supply uncertainty and rising costs, particularly in Japan, as potential policy shifts could tighten exports and heighten strain on the global market. - 28/04/2025
UK power futures are bullish this morning as renewed concerns over the impact of the EU's CBAM on cross-border power exports and renewable investment continue to cause market ambiguity. - 28/04/2025
Cornwall Insights suggest that the UK energy price cap could fall around 9% in July. This could offer some bearish signals along the curve due to softening supplier demand. - 28/04/2025
Despite a fall in wind generation into tomorrow, improving UK nuclear output, firm interconnectors flows and warmer temperatures are limiting upside to day-ahead energy contracts on reduced gas-for-power demand. - 28/04/2025
Recent talks between Trump and President Zelenskiy regarding ending the war in Ukraine could provide some bearish sentiment; however, the lack of progress with Russia continues to be a limiting factor. - 28/04/2025
Hartlepool 2 (595MW) and Heysham 2-7 (615MW) are expected to return to service today and Monday, respectively, though any bearish pressure to day-ahead is partially offset by Hartlepool 1 (595MW) going offline. - 25/04/2025
The prompt gas contract is shifting down in morning trading, with temperatures forecast to continue rising over the course of the week. Downside is limited by continued export and injection demand, however. - 25/04/2025
Day-ahead baseload has opened bullish this morning but could see a shift to the downside, with wind forecast to rise over the weekend and IFA1 returning to service today amid strong solar output on the Continent. - 25/04/2025
Gas futures are trading neutral this morning following a week of declines, with improvements in gas fundamentals and positive sentiment around RUS-UKR peace maintaining lower prices. - 25/04/2025
2027+ energy futures and UK/EU carbon markets are moving up this morning, with the softer stance surrounding tariffs by the US continuing to abate some concerns surrounding a prolonged recession. - 25/04/2025
The day-ahead baseload contract is pointing down in morning trading amid rising solar in the UK and the Continent, offsetting falling wind output and a delay to Hartlepool 2 (595MW) coming back online. - 24/04/2025
The prompt gas contract is trading to the downside this morning as weaker LNG send out and domestic production couple with higher export demand are being offset by warmer temperatures. - 24/04/2025
Near-curve and 2025-26 seasonal gas contracts are trading neutral-bearish this morning after closing slightly down in yesterday's trading. RUS-UKR geopolitics and macroeconomics are maintaining bearish market sentiment. - 24/04/2025
2027+ seasonal energy contracts are neutral-bullish to bullish in morning trading, likely taking some direction from macroeconomic developments as statements from the US increasingly suggest less harsh tariffs. - 24/04/2025
UK and EU carbon have decoupled somewhat from macroeconomic developments and are shifting down in morning trading on weaker permit demand due to higher renewable output in the UK and Europe. - 24/04/2025
Day-ahead gas and power contracts are diverging this morning. The expected return of Hartlepool 2 (595MW) is providing bearish signals to baseload, whilst continued injection demand supports prompt gas. - 23/04/2025
UK gas futures shifted to the downside in yesterday's trading, driven by a combination of recessionary concerns, due to the IMF cutting growth forecasts, and improved RUS-UKR peace prospects. - 23/04/2025
UK gas futures have opened bullish, tracking equities as some of yesterday's recessionary concerns ease amid statements from the White House suggesting the US-China trade war could end earlier than thought. - 23/04/2025
The Brent Crude benchmark and UK/EU carbon contracts are moving to the upside, in line with wider energy commodities and equity markets, driven by greater economic confidence. - 23/04/2025
The EU is looking into options to forbid new Russian gas contracts, limiting the bearish impact of improved peace prospects to later-dated UK gas futures contracts. - 23/04/2025
The day-ahead gas contract is trading sideways this morning as a slight drop in Norwegian supply and continued high gas-fired generation demand is limited by warmer temperature forecasts tomorrow. - 22/04/2025
The prompt power contract is trading bullish this morning amid weak nuclear output. A forecasted increase in wind output is limiting some of the bullish pressure. - 22/04/2025
Gas futures are bearish this morning with President Putin’s offer to pursue direct peace talks with Ukraine, indicating potential progress towards a ceasefire. Warmer temperatures for the end of April is also contributing. - 22/04/2025
The Brent Crude benchmark is moving to the upside today whilst carbon contracts remain elevated after a recent recovery. This appears to be related to positive developments in US trade relations with some key nations. - 22/04/2025
Global LNG supply is expected to remain tight until 2027 providing bullish signals to futures, driven by prospect for a delay to new export infrastructure amid a slow down in Asian demand signals. - 22/04/2025
A dry hydro outlook in the Alps, alongside increasing pessimism over German wind output across summer, could offer support to near-curve energy contracts on tighter renewable availability. - 17/04/2025
Resistance from several EU countries and concerns over alternative supplies led to a veto on the proposed EU parliament ban on Russian LNG, limiting upside along the curve on easing supply fears. - 17/04/2025
A plummet in wind generation and a further two nuclear reactors outages today and tomorrow, reducing capacity to 63%, are offering support to prompt contracts on increased reliance on gas-fired generation. - 17/04/2025
The UK has secured an additional LNG cargo for April 2025 and its first for May, bringing the totals to 8 and 1 respectively. Meanwhile, global LNG exports have hit a record high, improving supply conditions. - 17/04/2025
UK energy futures are neutral- bullish this morning, caught between ongoing tariff implications and the EU's prospective 20% YoY increase in LNG imports to meet summer demand and replenish storage levels. - 17/04/2025
Day-ahead energy contracts are pointing up in morning trading amid a sharp decline in wind output into tomorrow. A slight drop in UK temperatures and a more significant drop in NWE is also supportive. - 16/04/2025
UK gas futures are trading neutral-bullish this morning after closing flat on Monday's prices yesterday. Upside is limited by ongoing tariff discussions, but less trading prior to the Easter weekend is also contributing. - 16/04/2025
European storage dynamics are favouring injections, with injections ramping up over the past three weeks and forecast to continue. This is bearish for W-25, but supports prompt and front month pricing. - 16/04/2025
UK and EU carbon prices are following the same sideways action being seen in wider energy commodities, with uncertainty over the impact of tariffs limiting significant price moves despite weaker renewable output. - 16/04/2025
Several key financial institutions have lowered growth forecasts for China in 2025 and 2026 amid the ongoing trade dispute. This could maintain the bearish sentiment in European gas markets amid less competition for LNG. - 16/04/2025
Day-ahead gas and power contracts are pointing down this morning, with a sharp rise in wind output into tomorrow offsetting bullish signals from cooler temperatures and a extension to Heysham 2-7's outage. - 15/04/2025
UK gas futures are neutral this morning after staging a slight recovery yesterday afternoon spurred by Norwegian gas production issues which have since been addressed. - 15/04/2025
The trade war between the US and nations globally continues to develop as US-China relations sour further, but progress is being made between other large Asian economies and the EU, lending some support to futures. - 15/04/2025
UK and EU carbon prices have opened bullish this morning after closing yesterday marginally higher. This appears to be driven by a combination of weaker renewable output and positive tariff discussions. - 15/04/2025
The UK has secured another cargo for Apr-25 delivery, bringing the total to 7, as Asian spot LNG prices slump to a 1-year low amid trade war concerns, despite more optimism than last week. - 15/04/2025
Prompt gas and power are pointing up in morning trading, driven by a sharp decline in wind output into tomorrow. The expected return of the Heysham 2-7 nuclear reactor (615MW) and warmer temperatures limit upside. - 14/04/2025
UK gas futures are neutral-bullish this morning after trading in a mostly sideways fashion last week, with further downside limited by storage tightness and upside limited by recessionary concerns. - 14/04/2025
Equity markets in Europe and Asia have staged a slight recovery this morning. This eases some of the concerns around a recession and is lending some support to the wider energy complex. - 14/04/2025
Cloud cover forecasts for many regions in Europe have been revised up, limiting solar output. This could lend some support to day-ahead pricing for the next couple of weeks on tighter import availability. - 14/04/2025
Temperature forecasts for the UK for the remainder of April have been revised down from the last forecast, which could also contribute to higher day-ahead prices in the near-term. - 14/04/2025
The day-ahead gas contract is bullish this morning amid a forecasted drop in temperatures into Monday, though a continuation of strong Norwegian supply due to a lack of planned maintenance limits upside. - 11/04/2025
The prompt power contract is bearish amid a sharp increase in wind output into Monday, offsetting bullish pressure from declining solar output and cooler temperatures. - 11/04/2025
Gas futures opened bullish this morning but are now trading neutral as wider financial markets asses the recessionary impact of Trump's tariffs. A similar dynamic was seen yesterday, which ended up closing flat. - 11/04/2025
The UK/EU carbon and Brent crude benchmarks are diverging this morning, driven by movements in financial markets following Trump's temporary tariff reductions and China's reciprocal tariffs on the US, respectively. - 11/04/2025
Power futures are posting mixed price action this morning, characterised by large bid-offer spreads. Carbon contracts are supportive, but gas futures are offering unclear direction amid strong market volatility. - 11/04/2025
The day ahead power contract is neutral- bearish amid a slight increase in wind output into tomorrow, as well as warmer temperatures and increased solar output due to less cloud cover. - 10/04/2025
The prompt gas contract is up this morning despite improved supply from Norway and warmer temperatures as the rally in futures supports pricing on storage dynamics. - 10/04/2025
Trump has announced temporary reductions in tariffs for most countries, though a further increase to China tariffs. The result has is a rally in UK and European energy futures as recessionary concerns ease. - 10/04/2025
The benchmark UK and EU carbon contracts are rising in morning trading, in line with wider financial markets, adding to the bullish pressure being felt on UK and European power futures. - 10/04/2025
Oil prices fell to a four-year low yesterday after its worst 5 days of losses in 3 years, as the trade war between China and the US escalates. Tariffs suspensions have done little to impact the downwards momentum. - 10/04/2025
Day-ahead energy contracts are bearish, with temperatures forecast to warm into tomorrow and Norwegian maintenance coming to an end tomorrow, offsetting persistent low wind output. - 09/04/2025
UK gas futures and wider commodity markets are continuing to be dominated by a bearish trend, with Trump administration tariffs taking effect today, intensifying trade war concerns with Asia and Europe. - 09/04/2025
Adding to the bearish view for UK gas futures is pricing dynamics favouring storage injections in Europe for the start of the summer, particularly with no Norwegian maintenance until April and warmer temperatures. - 09/04/2025
Goldman Sachs’ estimate of a 70% probability for a Russia-Ukraine peace deal, combining with recessionary concerns and more positive storage dynamics to provide bearish signals to energy futures. - 09/04/2025
2027+ seasonal energy futures are bullish amid concerns surrounding the future of US LNG projects and concerns that the current trade war could impact the cost of raw materials critical for the energy transition. - 09/04/2025
Day ahead power is bearish today on the back of wind output increasing into tomorrow. Prompt gas is bullish amid increased reliance on gas storage, higher export demand and slightly cooler temperatures. - 08/04/2025
EU carbon prices are moving down this morning after reaching their lowest since 08-Oct 2024 off the back of Trump's tariffs, supporting bearish sentiment in the mid-to-long range energy futures. - 08/04/2025
Despite no further cargoes being secured by the UK for Apr-25, Chinese LNG buyers are looking to resell US cargoes as tariffs impact. Europe has been 70% of the resell volume, improving supply prospects. - 08/04/2025
Gas futures are down again this morning after yesterday's market volatility amid the rumours of a 90 day pause on tariffs that was later denied by the white house. - 08/04/2025
2026+ power contracts are moving to the upside amid bullish sentiment from supply concern as 60GW of fossil-fuelled capacity across Europe is at risk of being decommissioned early (in 2026) for being unviable. - 08/04/2025
Day-ahead energy contracts are bearish this morning amid forecasts of above-average warmer temperatures into tomorrow and easing Norwegian maintenance, though weak wind output is limiting downside. - 07/04/2025
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